SKOKIE, Ill.- Expected increases in public construction
activities will pave the way for improved cement consumption in 2010 and
beyond, according the most recent economic forecast from the Portland Cement
Association (PCA).
In 2010, PCA anticipates a modest five percent increase in
consumption over severely depressed 2009 levels. The three to five million
metric tons gain in cement use will materialize during the second half of the
year. A 13.3 percent jump is predicted for 2011, followed by an 18.7 percent
increase in 2012.
“The 2010 recovery in cement consumption lays largely on
expectations for public construction activity,” Edward Sullivan, PCA chief
economist, said. “Spending from the stimulus bill will more than double to $12
billion and that spending is expected to reflect an increased share of major
highway construction and bridge projects-high cement-intensive projects.”
Although nonresidential sectors like oil and farm
construction contribute to the 2010 cement consumption increase, consumption
accrued to commercial building will decline 29 percent on top of a 38-year low
reached in 2009. The residential sector is expected to become a modest
contributor to growth during 2010 – something that has not materialized since
2005.
“The economy is recovering and improving its core
fundamentals. However, recovery for the construction markets will be slowed by
the continuation of tight lending conditions, high foreclosure rates and weak
job markets,” Sullivan said.
For more information, visit www.cement.org.
Gains to Materialize in Second Half of 2010
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